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Frozen pre-match forecast · #27053

Compostela VS Real Oviedo II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 12:14 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.89%
Draw
24.45%
Away
17.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0729
Log loss
1.7339

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 12:14 UTC
SHA-256
04583f5fc158c83e467f218d722e91b6b4c82ea569ff18bf75075a48f887c79f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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