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Frozen pre-match forecast · #2697

La Solana VS San Clemente

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:36 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.68%
Draw
34.65%
Away
31.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6602
Log loss
1.0883

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:36 UTC
SHA-256
48d3b3dfb6b043f9ec08bc8a1089f29222b5c72edfe3c80213115cb986ef96c8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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