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Frozen pre-match forecast · #26900

Borgosesia VS Sestri Levante

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 12:10 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.85%
Draw
23.54%
Away
29.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7704
Log loss
1.2171

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 12:10 UTC
SHA-256
a0d07aa1b51cbbe091cdfb96b707da0add5f377d8a87af1b794e8387e7f93029

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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