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Frozen pre-match forecast · #26888

Karystos VS Nea Artaki

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 12:10 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.57%
Draw
30.85%
Away
34.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6428
Log loss
1.0621

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 12:10 UTC
SHA-256
e3191e5d8d5fa38bc37edfcb0d59b55551e5dd6af7e6c8ff59053ef6791a824e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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