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Frozen pre-match forecast · #26821

Velká Bíteš VS Bedrichov

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 12:09 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
71.48%
Draw
20.33%
Away
8.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.1294
Log loss
0.3358

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 12:09 UTC
SHA-256
5e72ea8de0a5e75448e62a0a04c3f916588d67d228052afa1bac68f2e46d023e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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