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Frozen pre-match forecast · #2681

Coleraine FC VS Limavady United

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.20%
Draw
33.13%
Away
25.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5214
Log loss
0.8867

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
SHA-256
84e61d320350b25c128e37dd4476870fe2cc97065c8b7162c2a95c0fdb73bd60

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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