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Frozen pre-match forecast · #26792

Città di Campobasso VS Torres

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 12:07 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.54%
Draw
27.81%
Away
33.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7828
Log loss
1.2797

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 12:07 UTC
SHA-256
5d7d902abc2ef7e895a7b2332ba88b249b0be41dd2432d8bf0c848e42ab253bd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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