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Frozen pre-match forecast · #26739

Scheiblingkirchen VS Leobendorf

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 12:06 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.62%
Draw
22.68%
Away
27.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3820
Log loss
0.7008

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 12:06 UTC
SHA-256
ed0c7f20e1180881a61a1d3a064aa31089401827fb6014f1eadd276bd717d1cf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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