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Frozen pre-match forecast · #26738

Tamaraceite VS Antoniano

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 12:06 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.42%
Draw
34.77%
Away
33.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7055
Log loss
1.1576

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 12:06 UTC
SHA-256
f0a265ad2ed05bf15e6ee443834a776c5a7b2f193451cd98218388258041d58d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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