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Frozen pre-match forecast · #26664

DAC II VS Komárno II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 12:04 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.23%
Draw
21.78%
Away
21.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2874
Log loss
0.5757

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 12:04 UTC
SHA-256
0aafbaa5bdd79af86f0fa4a99cd025ad36467e1c96c6c34f73eeefbf99d11634

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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