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Frozen pre-match forecast · #26539

Siwelele U23 VS Sekhukhune United U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 12:01 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.17%
Draw
22.20%
Away
30.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7530
Log loss
1.1832

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 12:01 UTC
SHA-256
7ea3168293e188afe943b201cbb6bb8cde8eb2b6bc4c4ab324fbccb635c64885

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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