Frozen pre-match forecast · #26529
Worksop Town VS AFC Telford United
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 21 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 22 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 49.47%
- Draw
- 20.42%
- Away
- 30.11%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.3877
- Log loss
- 0.7038
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- legacy
- Captured at
- 21 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
- SHA-256
- 93c18c3c40b0c694a0d364cd585ca223955800d97fb990d82129a8240fc85b3b
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.