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Frozen pre-match forecast · #26527

Wimborne Town VS Weston-super-Mare

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.07%
Draw
19.85%
Away
43.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9655
Log loss
1.6171

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
SHA-256
5062d9dd8fe97de0358eddb616b41ec01b8e0f8dafc2a0d46d7b32ab35320d00

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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