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Frozen pre-match forecast · #265262

Russia VS Venezuela

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
13 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.00%
Draw
18.88%
Away
13.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
13 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
1999cd03d23e5f991945c45e125e7eaefcff108c66a07ab7809ae5fc2adf7f12

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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