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Frozen pre-match forecast · #26355

Guyana VS Cayman Islands

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:50 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.35%
Draw
17.35%
Away
17.30%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1801
Log loss
0.4254

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:50 UTC
SHA-256
a0a36ebd31ab8c734714e32bd71e1ca3bc375d9d1a34f5df9741f9fb78b2162c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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