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Frozen pre-match forecast · #262663

Erandio VS San Ignacio

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
12 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
15 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.50%
Draw
26.99%
Away
45.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
12 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
58fb8ad7f0bbf2c2ed943b12a4c811be7e5cbbaa0667c38bf442ba1436e93037

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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