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Frozen pre-match forecast · #262661

Amurrio Club VS Durango

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
12 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
15 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.79%
Draw
25.26%
Away
53.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
12 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
cc34393f4b499a0e64d70cc556e2bde9a86b45fa68f8bf9ff9638d2ff786acf8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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