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Frozen pre-match forecast · #26256

Colegios Diocesanos VS Almazán

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:48 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.98%
Draw
37.49%
Away
36.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5917
Log loss
0.9811

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:48 UTC
SHA-256
f5792962225c03cb328ee1bafa9d2c102916ab11fd5e0b3043749bbb0810db99

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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