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Frozen pre-match forecast · #2625

Beti Kozkor VS Cortes

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.35%
Draw
33.10%
Away
28.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5711
Log loss
0.9584

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
SHA-256
eccbd38e158f15de8ed74c2168ddd1632760bb6600e80743b18f01c65a93603a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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