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Frozen pre-match forecast · #26181

Novin Ahvaz VS Shahin Bandar Ameri

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:47 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.35%
Draw
34.32%
Away
33.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6471
Log loss
1.0694

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:47 UTC
SHA-256
5944652c88a3c6e52723b67fe02820d0c12200c75903f0793a3c02d3ff2ddc0f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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