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Frozen pre-match forecast · #2612

Spartakos Kitiou VS MEAP Nisou

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.72%
Draw
34.27%
Away
30.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6208
Log loss
1.0296

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
SHA-256
8f5b627c8f43d7b2fdc60ef2de04fb1faa66203f63fe08cb970d0cca16ac47c1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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