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Frozen pre-match forecast · #26099

SD Logroñés VS Olot

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:46 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.87%
Draw
25.86%
Away
34.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6580
Log loss
1.0711

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:46 UTC
SHA-256
54901a4c35b03d48ca1a757bc99ca122a6112b809d03f21b9691b828e55e8cb8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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