Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #26074

Pontevedra II VS Arenteiro

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:45 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.61%
Draw
26.62%
Away
25.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4118
Log loss
0.7422

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:45 UTC
SHA-256
239925e7eb1d2c8d4732d3b228eb494dc12b17825d9d0728ee291cff91fd6652

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →