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Frozen pre-match forecast · #2607

Akritas VS ASIL Lysi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.41%
Draw
33.00%
Away
42.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6898
Log loss
1.1086

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
SHA-256
90009b49a33b46a2ce7f8cf4fb33672a6662a2f2e90fab8fce39abff8a3d37f0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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