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Frozen pre-match forecast · #26037

Assyriska FF VS Piteå

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.34%
Draw
21.26%
Away
26.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8608
Log loss
1.3318

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
SHA-256
0c6267e9051e2d11ec116b01f4b6e47eca8c89b8de691af600d45896d1768ee4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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