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Frozen pre-match forecast · #26035

Stabæk II VS Flekkerøy

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.05%
Draw
17.18%
Away
22.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9866
Log loss
1.4797

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
SHA-256
89f99d1e34f61d4ae5938d17eab53cfd3d3e6b4d89e6408e3bee409d68725116

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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