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Frozen pre-match forecast · #260345

Amurrio Club VS Durango

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
15 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.79%
Draw
25.26%
Away
53.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
5f80e17bd992f4b680cb0ff4a8b8baaa362dc65fa689925a8c9d755ba5d8743b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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