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Frozen pre-match forecast · #2597

Saumur VS Stade Briochin

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
17.83%
Draw
41.53%
Away
40.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.5565
Log loss
0.9003

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
SHA-256
eab5baaa69fd78303035249f8c6bb1f1171a5cc0221744f98c75bdf0586bf3f3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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