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Frozen pre-match forecast · #25867

Ganshoren VS AS Eupen II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:42 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.57%
Draw
19.80%
Away
24.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2973
Log loss
0.5875

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:42 UTC
SHA-256
d690d18481436106dec8099fc6d0164815f81e43b05aa2d0aba6ee3ec7ee1b7c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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