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Frozen pre-match forecast · #258412

Talleres Córdoba Res. VS Sarmiento Res.

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.92%
Draw
22.43%
Away
13.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1991
Log loss
0.4475

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
5b93719cf42c04b4b29539739e7dbb7b09ca11bfa89a9a3a27161ca891e486e3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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