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Frozen pre-match forecast · #258365

Dieppe VS Racing Colombes 92

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.34%
Draw
26.47%
Away
45.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8252
Log loss
1.3292

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
8585ea8ee2b3a3b2fcd693fbae4a16d015fbd548b845b9bb750153464872ddca

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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