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Frozen pre-match forecast · #25714

L'Escala VS Martinenc

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:39 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.04%
Draw
36.01%
Away
28.96%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6355
Log loss
1.0488

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:39 UTC
SHA-256
5de9057142fadcef031fb8abf4aedb957b4f23a0565262d3d3590c78b63cde72

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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