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Frozen pre-match forecast · #257002

Eastbourne Borough VS Dulwich Hamlet

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Nov 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.13%
Draw
19.18%
Away
14.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1730
Log loss
0.4134

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Nov 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
d0ac8165e44b6ad3c72bbe9b7b474910aacfe0c8af3137d4962da55519a6ea45

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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