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Frozen pre-match forecast · #25693

Manila Digger VS Azkals

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:38 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 09:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.44%
Draw
17.91%
Away
18.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2005
Log loss
0.4551

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:38 UTC
SHA-256
c09b6277bab9d04f69a7062abdd024d3fc49476fde498dc09a68692f8af64c6f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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