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Frozen pre-match forecast · #256167

Juventus W VS Lyon W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
6.26%
Draw
11.54%
Away
82.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 690-minute result
Brier score
0.0489
Log loss
0.1960

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
726cc4a536b66a979c0a367880122a0fc5b03a730c39bdce651dd381f8166e48

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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