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Frozen pre-match forecast · #255935

Dieppe VS Racing Colombes 92

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.34%
Draw
26.47%
Away
45.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8252
Log loss
1.3292

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
77331a29fd220dc7bb24c1d661e882b1286ed08d91aaec285fdafeb0e37f30e2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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