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Frozen pre-match forecast · #255898

St-Pryvé St-Hilaire VS Chantilly

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Nov 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
67.36%
Draw
18.87%
Away
13.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.1309
Log loss
1.6676

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Nov 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
285c071b70ee3de558d5c3917e8702cdaffc2c80cb16934e5ab96cc6ba816925

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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