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Frozen pre-match forecast · #25582

PSTC Procopense VS AA Iguaçu

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:36 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 21:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.33%
Draw
25.71%
Away
24.96%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8575
Log loss
1.3583

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:36 UTC
SHA-256
a138c93ad171622940fed1243f67dc6b262fe32cd65f9ed161141e0555067829

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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