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Frozen pre-match forecast · #255777

Palmeiras U20 VS Santos U20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.41%
Draw
19.07%
Away
15.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.1779
Log loss
1.8630

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
8a2b9a8f6b58b8c12e1665e80a6b6ba9fa0260cf21192293499036585127fb5f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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