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Frozen pre-match forecast · #255740

Palestine VS Iran

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.59%
Draw
25.51%
Away
32.89%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
dd6bf2f2b9f1e61498f1d22d15280f20b9f6b351786f352fafc0f2dda8092891

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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