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Frozen pre-match forecast · #255339

Arconatese VS Crema

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
15 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.46%
Draw
25.56%
Away
46.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
3de45a207dcb2521af01f01903fb758e7f43e36ae43d2c0ed5c57de77ec5b8d4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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