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Frozen pre-match forecast · #25492

Hoogstraten VS Dender

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.31%
Draw
24.17%
Away
33.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 690-minute result
Brier score
0.6794
Log loss
1.0930

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
SHA-256
8aafa9e66fdf5e3673de264a7ca807010dbc9c88c0e0ed2065db2e1396be1564

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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