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Frozen pre-match forecast · #25477

Meux VS Onhaye

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.12%
Draw
19.34%
Away
32.54%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4124
Log loss
0.7315

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
SHA-256
72e82398984d9ba7f834924ba2558b9965c4e77e2d7df6e63560febf34da379c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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