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Frozen pre-match forecast · #25475

Bocholt VS Royal Antwerp II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.58%
Draw
22.53%
Away
42.88%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6626
Log loss
1.0618

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
SHA-256
d342d01cf37d8e6753a833b31ba671797dd7819e1b8a5497891d981fc78741da

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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