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Frozen pre-match forecast · #254557

FAP VS Les Astres

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.49%
Draw
26.43%
Away
28.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
466e8017016db206aa32cdb8bf149b671e72fc4410b00e04fc0b740ba6a6164f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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