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Frozen pre-match forecast · #253941

Simba VS TP Mazembe

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.40%
Draw
27.63%
Away
57.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Nov 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
8779d3ec9a460f56234ad0830a830a5bcaa7c5c586dd670f2fdaab3368b7bce8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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