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Frozen pre-match forecast · #253630

Deportivo de La Coruña W VS Valencia W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.05%
Draw
24.06%
Away
20.89%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9868
Log loss
1.5659

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
5cdb75116a0400f06a3a73c9da1a96f4ab0731bf31d0dd9daeaa55a45ca0f21a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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