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Frozen pre-match forecast · #253615

Hapoel Kfar Saba VS Maccabi Bnei Raina

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.44%
Draw
24.20%
Away
42.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5027
Log loss
0.8591

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
389cc8276ac179bd07ce4795a3a7bb3708d65f0dba03735f51c7a484196386b8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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