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Frozen pre-match forecast · #253589

Bani Yas U23 VS Ajman U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 12:55 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.98%
Draw
27.28%
Away
34.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6446
Log loss
1.0573

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
dac758de74de96f2c6cc78c82f0df7f8eed73dfa922fd0a4618c07d4f042c5c3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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