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Frozen pre-match forecast · #253571

Zakynthos VS Niki Volos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
10.82%
Draw
22.51%
Away
66.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1735
Log loss
0.4054

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
b1b609083d814909ded3f772888504fe51fb29907f5fa06857ef88cfdeb399e3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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